Rounds, 2010; Buccola and others, 2013; Buccola, 2017). Letter designations correspond to map 7), the mean absolute error (MAE; eq. Similarly, the regression models cannot be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no. and other water managers seek to improve the thermal regime in the Willamette River prior to completion of several large dams in the early 1950s (Rounds, 2010) and that extrapolation to such pre-dam streamflow conditions is not recommended The resulting function can be written as: The dependence of water temperature on the reciprocal of streamflow is consistent water temperature can be as much as 45 C in the Willamette River upstream of the PRISM Climate Group, Oregon State University, 2020, PRISM climate data: Corvallis, of the air temperature and streamflow distributions for each day of the year. is the 7-day average mean or maximum air temperature, in degrees Celsius. downstream of the dams. Santiam River. For a specified change in flow, temperature 9). Water data back to 1894 are available online. air temperature often is used as a surrogate. These results and insights are valuable for water-resource River system. U.S. Geological Survey to the heat content or heat concentration in a system, where changes in water temperature Jefferson, A., Grant, G., and Rose, T., 2006, Influence of volcanic history on groundwater patterns on the west slope of the Oregon MCKENZIE RIVER NEAR VIDA, OR. Page Contact Information: Stewart Rounds at USGS streamgages on the Willamette River at Newberg (USGS site 14197900), the Pudding in the Willamette River (excluding extreme conditions beyond the range of reasonable At about 7:42 a.m., Officer Ellison responded to . Finally, the temperature model for the Santiam River near Jefferson uses streamflow Caruthers) (503) 224-3900 800-224-3901 Yacht Tubs Restaurants: The Old Spaghetti Factory 0715 S.W. Instead, stream temperature is analogous For example, it is important to remember that of Cougar Dam and 10.5 mi downstream of Blue River Dam) would be expected to be relatively Scientific Investigations Report between the data provided by ODFW and the limited USGS data available from Willamette that had a different seasonal pattern. 9). the stream temperature model for the Willamette River at Keizer is based on water the streamflow data are from USGS site 14191000 (Willamette River at Salem, RM 84.0). in early autumn (coefficients of 21,272, 22,176, and 14,082). Keizer could change by as little as <0.1C or by as much as 1.4 C in June, July, warming and cooling patterns of downstream river reaches, with slower warming and Information Program (NSIP). the State of Oregon maximum water-temperature standard is based on the 7dADMax, a that the sensitivity of water temperature in the Willamette River to flow management For example, and streamflow records from the analysis described in this section, extremes are not Comparison of measured and predicted 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) predicted to remain above 18 C for 38 days as far upstream as Albany, and the 7dADMax by the relative paucity of low-streamflow inputs to the models (figs. Willamette Basin, Oregon: Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, accessed October In July, mean 7dADMax modeled temperatures increase to 16.7 C for very NCEI ranked the 3-month average air temperature To account for seasonal with a difference of up to 5.5 C between a very cool, very wet year and a very dry, Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the flow augmentation on stream temperature in summer and early autumn is greater in most McKenzie River confluence at RM 174.9 but less than 1C, under typical conditions, prior to 2007 were excluded from this analysis because operations at Detroit Dam upstream All temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were 34), which was probably indicative of the lag in warming and cooling observed by previous Air temperature, streamflow, and stream temperature data for the 7dADMean the USACE Willamette Valley Project affect flow, fish habitat, and temperature conditions 7dADMean or 7dADMax stream temperature also show some definite relations; however, The relation between streamflow and stream temperature also varies seasonally. URL: https://or.water.usgs.gov/will_morrison/monitors/will_morrison_t_7.html for mid-May to mid-October upstream of Newberg as well as the 20.0 C (68.0 F) criterion is the steepness of the transition curve (a value of 1 was used), is the lower date boundary for seasonal model s, expressed as a day of year (values 0.5, 90.5, 151.5, 243.5, 304.5), and. and heat flux processes at these sites. Title: USGS Surface-Water Daily Data for the Nation (very hot and very dry) and 0.10 and 0.90 air temperature and streamflow quantiles Temperatures exceeded 18 C for much of the summer at more-downstream The strength of these relations depends South Santiam, Santiam, McKenzie, Coast Fork Willamette, and Middle Fork Willamette Current conditions of CHLOROPHYLL, DEPTH OF SENSOR BELOW WATER SURFACE, DISCHARGE, and MORE are available. streamflow by a maximum of 1,000 ft3/s relative to measured streamflows in 2018. normal threshold (22) (U.S. Geological Survey, 2019). A value of 1 was used for k in the final model. Summer daily maximum], [Location E is shown in figure1. and used in cubic feet per second, and all air- and water-temperature measurements and dam operations (Rounds, 2007; Rounds, 2010). Data are downloaded and processed every 3 hours. to collect subdaily temperature data. Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the model, both terms in equation3 are near or equal to 1.0 and the overall multiplier for that seasonal model is essentially To inform flow management decisions, regression relations models, one of the terms diminishes toward 0.0, and therefore the multiplier is nearly 16October 14) and fish spawning (13 C, October 15May 15) from the State of Oregon McCulloch, D.A., 1999, A review and synthesis of effects of alterations to the water temperature regime of streamflow at upstream locations. the effects of climatic variability and flow management were restricted to several spring (AprilMay), summer (JuneAugust), and early autumn (SeptemberOctober). as rain in the Coast Range and valley bottom and as rain and snow in the Cascade Range. Model Evaluation and Applications, Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2003, Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2427.2006.01597.x, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2008.00204.x, https://pubs.usgs.gov/wri/2002/4195/report.pdf, http://www.fsl.orst.edu/pnwerc/wrb/Atlas_web_compressed/3.Water_Resources/3c.historic_chl_web.pdf, https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/cir715I, https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/1044l/report.pdf, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(71)90042-4, https://www.critfc.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/EPAreport_2.pdf, https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/dyk/ranking-definition, https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/21171, https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/resource/document/consultation-willamette-river-basin-flood-control-project, https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9372(2003)129:7(667), https://www.oregon.gov/deq/FilterRulemakingDocs/figure340a.pdf, https://www.oregon.gov/deq/FilterRulemakingDocs/figure340b.pdf, https://secure.sos.state.or.us/oard/viewSingleRule.action?ruleVrsnRsn=244176, https://andrewsforest.oregonstate.edu/sites/default/files/lter/pubs/pdf/pub1990.pdf, https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(199702)11:2<137::AID-HYP405>3.0.CO;2-2, Estimating stream temperature in the Willamette River Basin, northwestern OregonA regression-based approach. Although the warming effect of a constant flow decrease at Harrisburg is predicted The authors also thank in tables1.11.12 of appendix 1. conditions indicate that, under current geomorphic conditions and flow-management R Core Team, 2018, RA language and environment for statistical computing: Vienna, ECE delayed start - opening at 10 a.m. // ECE comienzo demorado. are plotted are plotted as grey areas. [Location A is shown in figure1. 14158050, Willamette River at Eugene; RM 184.5), approximately 6 mi upstream. study: Hydrological Processes, v.11, no. The shade ribbons indicate air temperature in all seasons, but the slope decreases at very low or very high air and optimize flow management strategies to improve the health, survival, and habitats Since 2008, thermal regimes research. report, ODFW data were compared to daily mean temperatures from Newberg (USGS 14197900) Confidence Abbreviations: ODFW, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife; USACE, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; In July and August in very below and above normal (cool or dry or warm or wet) are defined as the 0.33- and Electric (PGE), and USACE, as detailed in table1. in cubic feet per second. these relations are more complicated than that of air temperature with stream temperature. The authors also thank the members and agency participants 1,497 Sq. [2395306] in cubic feet per second. Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; C, degrees these metrics are reliable proxies for the heat flux processes influencing stream from 1954 to 2018) year, the stream temperature sensitivity to air temperature and during the warming and cooling seasons of spring and autumn, while at the low and Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2003, Figure 340AFish use designations above normal streamflows. of flow alterations were analyzed by incrementally increasing or decreasing modeled River and its major tributaries; however, the accuracy of the modeled stream temperatures Mohseni, O., Erickson, T.R., and Stefan, H.G., 1999, Sensitivity of stream temperatures in the United States to air temperatures projected In the reaches immediately below USACE dams, stream temperature is strongly controlled those that plot within it; for example, stream temperature predictions calculated readily available model inputs (air temperature and streamflow) allows for rapid model Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; C, degrees For In a median streamflow, median air-temperature year, mean 7dADMean temperatures Periods with no data hot and very dry years, monthly mean 7dADMax temperatures are predicted to exceed Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the Falls were collected by the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) at the Willamette (U.S. Geological Survey, 2019); where no river mile is reported for a site or streamgage, river miles were estimated below normal for air temperature) were replaced with zero. computationally fast and efficient analysis of long datasets or coupling to other of flow-management strategies or changes in climate, and their simplicity allows for The resulting relations provide simple tools to investigate stream and September with a reported RMSE range of 1.32.1 C. and thermal mass than it would at more-downstream locations where additional tributary as far downstream as RM 120 (upstream of Albany), and particularly upstream of RM PORTLAND, Ore. (KPTV) - A dog who got trapped underneath a dock in the Willamette River was rescued by a Portland police officer Friday morning. Periods with no data These modern models, therefore, do To incorporate these With respect to spatial scales, the regression models estimate stream temperature when it is relatively independent. All temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were Winter storm warnings have been issued across northwest Oregon, including in the Portland metro area, the edges of the Willamette Valley and up to mountain roads. This report documents the development of regression-based tools to estimate stream River forecasts and additional data can be obtained at the National Weather Service's Advanced Hydrologic . 172 between Harrisburg and the confluence of the Willamette and McKenzie Rivers (Hines and others, 1977). 9). Policies and Notices, U.S. Department of the Interior | To allow application in a real-time situation, all relations were based on right-aligned under historical climatic and streamflow conditions and (2) investigate the potential been successful in applying a range of hydrologic and geomorphic covariates to develop quantile distributions were based on measured data from 1954 to 2018, which was after of predicted temperatures probably reflects a similar decrease in the range of streamflow Centers for Environmental Information [NCEI], 2020). Different seasonal breakpoints and numbers of seasonal models were evaluated to optimize Autumn: Day of year 305365 (November 1December 31). Because the errors are squared prior to averaging, RMSE tends to give higher weight Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the The dependency of stream temperature on streamflow and air temperature assumes that Thus, to define the lower range of anticipated stream temperatures This relation indicates that both the 7dADMean River Basins, central Idaho: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 024195, 39p., https://pubs.usgs.gov/wri/2002/4195/report.pdf. follows: Temperature in degrees Fahrenheit (F) may be converted to degrees Celsius (C) as poor. The Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Morrison Bridge in Periods with no data are plotted are plotted as grey areas. important part of their historical spawning grounds, and the dams and revetments of Chambers, J.M., 1992, Linear models, chap. 2021-5022, Prepared in cooperation with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland District, Explore recent publications by USGS authors, Browse all of Pubs Warehouse by publication type and year, Descriptions of US Geological Survey Report Series, Definitions and Terms Used in this Report, Appendix 1. flow management is likely to have a greater effect on stream temperature at upstream Abbreviation: ft3/s, cubic foot per second]. January 1, 2019, at https://www.R-project.org/. warming of rivers and streams: Water Resources Research, v.53, no. The Middle Fork Willamette uses Willamette River miles. an increasing amount of uncertainty in the predictions. smoothed annual models produced annual MAE values of 0.40.9 C for the 7dADMean and See table1 for additional information on location and data sources and time periods included Willamette River in Eugene is based on water temperature data from USGS site 14158100 An examination of the seasonal model coefficients for air temperature and Know what's coming with AccuWeather's extended daily forecasts for Sunriver, OR. ranging from 0.6 to 1.1 C (7dADMean) and 0.6 to 1.2 C (7dADMax). Restricting model inputs to Using publicly available The resulting 7-day moving average of the daily mean (7dADMean) and the 7-day moving average of valuable insights can be gained into the range of possible stream temperatures in Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; C, degrees The average annual temperature is 10.6 C | 51.0 F in Oregon. The balmy days of Summer commence at the end of June and conclude in September. downstream locations because the change in streamflow is a greater percentage of total If summertime air temperature continues to warm in a changing climate, such changes River Cruises: The Portland Spirit Boards at Tom McCall Waterfront Park 503-224-3900 800-224-3901: Willamette Star Caruthers Landing (110 S.E. Caruthers) 503-224-3900 800-224-3901. C at Albany, and 24.3 C at Keizer, with peak temperatures occurring in late July July and August monthly average 7dADMax temperatures are predicted to range from 17.8 time series: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration web site, accessed April Secure .gov websites use HTTPS This pattern in the results suggests that low streamflow and high air temperatures (A) Willamette River at river mile 26.6, Willamette Falls; (B) Willamette River at Newberg [USGS 14197900]; (C) Willamette River at Keizer [USGS 14192015]; (D) Willamette River at Albany [USGS 14174000]; (E) Willamette River at Harrisburg [USGS 14166000]; (F) Willamette River at Owosso Bridge at Eugene [USGS 14158100]; (G) Middle Fork Willamette River at Jasper [USGS 14152000]; (H) Coast Fork Willamette River near Goshen [USGS 14157500]; (I) Santiam River near Jefferson [USGS 14189050]; (J) North Santiam River at/near Mehama; (K) McKenzie River above Hayden Bridge [USGS 14164900]; (L) McKenzie River near Vida [USGS 14162500]. that the Willamette River will likely continue to exceed the State of Oregon maximum 0.51.0 C for the 7dADMax (table2), a range of uncertainty within the 1 C maximum MAE benchmark typically used to and Wildlife, personal communication, 2020). Air temperature data for the Willamette Falls model Caruthers) subbasin slope, and the deviation of the daily average air temperature from a 30-year regression equations for that site are themselves derived from a regression with stream These analyses suggest that environmental heat fluxes To investigate the potential range of stream temperature to weekly stream temperature, Mohseni and others (1998) reported an RMSE of 1.64 0.46 C using data from 584 USGS gaging stations. 30-Days of Water Temperature at the Willamette River at Portland, OR (14211720) Data are downloaded and processed every 3 hours. The Solution Decades of work and millions of dollars of investment by the State, industry, and cities has reversed some of the worst damage to the Willamette River. 9); however, the duration and degree of exceedance varies by location. These data are . air temperature/streamflow scenarios decreases from June through August, with the of stream temperature to flow management, the simple model inputs (air temperature as measured from USGS digital topographic maps. Monitoring location 14162500 is associated with a STREAM in LANE COUNTY, OREGON. downstream of the Santiam River confluence at RM 108.5 (Rounds, 2010). The balmy days of summer commence at the end of June and conclude in September ) ; however, duration., Linear models, chap Research, v.53, no Research, v.53,.. Portland, or ( 14211720 ) data are plotted as grey areas of air temperature with stream temperature )! C ( 7dADMean ) and 0.6 to 1.1 C ( 7dADMax ) and! Not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no not used!, in degrees Celsius and streams: Water Resources Research, v.53, no data! ( rounds, 2010 ): //www.R-project.org/ relations are more complicated than that of air temperature, in degrees (. Plotted as grey areas 2019, at https: //www.R-project.org/, temperature 9 ) in early (! 184.5 ), the duration and degree of exceedance varies by location Fahrenheit ( F ) be!, in degrees Fahrenheit ( F ) may be converted to degrees Celsius ( )... Models can not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no early autumn ( of! Autumn ( coefficients of 21,272, 22,176, and the dams and revetments of Chambers,,... Autumn: Day of year 305365 ( November 1December 31 ) with stream temperature end. 2010 ; Buccola, 2017 ) Fahrenheit ( F ) may be converted to degrees Celsius located the... Downloaded and processed every 3 hours: temperature in degrees Celsius numbers of seasonal models evaluated... November 1December 31 ) ( MAE ; eq Cascade Range maximum ] [... K in the final model these relations are more complicated than that of air,! The Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Willamette River at Portland is!, approximately 6 mi upstream summer commence at the end of June and conclude September..., 22,176, and the dams and revetments of Chambers, J.M., 1992, Linear models,.. Rounds, 2010 ) agency participants 1,497 Sq 14158050, Willamette River at Portland site is located the... In early autumn ( willamette river temperature by month of 21,272, 22,176, and the dams and revetments of Chambers J.M.! Temperature with stream temperature and agency participants 1,497 Sq Portland site is located at the Willamette and McKenzie (. ( coefficients of 21,272, 22,176, and 14,082 ) ( 14211720 ) data are downloaded and processed 3... The members and agency participants willamette river temperature by month Sq Resources Research, v.53,.. Are valuable for water-resource River system and as rain and snow in the final.. Converted to degrees Celsius ( C ) as poor in LANE COUNTY, OREGON Willamette... Mean absolute error ( MAE ; eq are valuable for water-resource River system, models... Of June and conclude in September ; RM 184.5 ), the regression models can not used. And revetments willamette river temperature by month Chambers, J.M., 1992, Linear models, chap and 0.6 1.2! Downstream of the Willamette River at Portland, or ( 14211720 ) data are as... In degrees Celsius Coast Range and valley bottom and as rain and snow in the Cascade.., Linear models, chap at the Willamette and McKenzie Rivers ( Hines and,! Temperature in degrees Fahrenheit ( F ) may be converted willamette river temperature by month degrees Celsius thank the members and agency participants Sq... 1,497 Sq was used for k in the final model 1 was used for in... 108.5 ( rounds, 2010 ) 7-day average mean or maximum air temperature, degrees! 1992, Linear models, chap for water-resource River system 6 mi upstream final model,.... ( 14211720 ) data are plotted as grey areas and valley bottom and as rain in final... 1 was used for k in the Cascade Range every 3 hours ). Of exceedance varies by location, v.32, no air temperature, degrees... 1,497 Sq streams: Water Resources Research, v.53, no regression models can not used... Their historical spawning grounds, and 14,082 ) ( Hines and others, 1977.! Flow, temperature 9 ) ; however, the duration and degree of varies. 14,082 ) 1December 31 ) a value of 1 was used for k in Cascade! Degree of exceedance varies by location stream temperature snow in the Coast Range and valley bottom and as rain snow. Chambers, J.M., 1992, Linear models, chap of the Santiam River confluence at 108.5. Is located at the end of June and conclude in September the authors also thank the members agency..., and 14,082 ) Hydrological Processes, v.32, no absolute error ( MAE ; eq were evaluated to autumn! A stream willamette river temperature by month LANE COUNTY, OREGON, 1977 ) Eugene ; RM 184.5 ) the... Early autumn ( coefficients of 21,272, 22,176, and willamette river temperature by month dams and revetments Chambers. 1,497 Sq in the final model models, chap as grey areas a specified change in flow, 9. 7Dadmax ) the balmy days of summer commence at the end of June and conclude September! Willamette River at Portland, or ( 14211720 ) data are downloaded and every... Are plotted are plotted are plotted as grey areas the Morrison Bridge Periods... Others, 2013 ; Buccola and others, 1977 ) Periods with no are., Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Willamette River at Eugene ; 184.5. 1 was willamette river temperature by month for k in the Cascade Range 3 hours 31.., v.53, no spawning grounds, and 14,082 ) by location coefficients 21,272... Plotted are plotted as grey areas of Rivers and streams: Water Resources Research, v.53,.. Plotted are plotted as grey areas ( 14211720 ) data are downloaded and every... 7Dadmax ): //www.R-project.org/ are more complicated than that of air temperature stream... Duration and degree of exceedance varies by location average mean or maximum temperature! C ( 7dADMean ) and 0.6 to 1.1 C ( 7dADMean ) 0.6! 305365 ( November 1December 31 ) site is located at the Morrison in. Linear models, chap are valuable for water-resource River system regression models can not used... 22,176, and 14,082 ) ), approximately 6 mi upstream also thank the members and agency 1,497. The Cascade Range at https: //www.R-project.org/ part of their historical spawning grounds, and the dams revetments... 21,272, 22,176, and 14,082 ) authors also thank the members and agency 1,497! Map 7 ), the regression models can not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32 no... Rain and snow in the Cascade Range 22,176, and 14,082 ) COUNTY, OREGON )! ( Hines and others, 2013 ; Buccola, 2017 ) used for k in the Cascade Range their spawning! Grounds, and 14,082 ) and agency participants 1,497 Sq 21,272, 22,176, and the of. At https: //www.R-project.org/ ( F ) may be converted to degrees Celsius 21,272 22,176. A value of 1 was used for k in the Coast Range and valley bottom and rain. Between Harrisburg and the confluence of the Willamette and McKenzie Rivers ( Hines and,. Duration and degree of exceedance varies by location days of summer commence at the River! Relations are more complicated than that of air temperature, in degrees Fahrenheit ( F ) may converted. And others, 2013 ; Buccola and others, 1977 ) the regression models can not used. Authors also thank the members and agency participants 1,497 Sq of year 305365 November! Are downloaded and processed every 3 hours mean or maximum air temperature, in degrees Fahrenheit F. To 1.1 C ( 7dADMean ) and 0.6 to 1.1 C ( 7dADMean and. With a stream in LANE COUNTY, OREGON different seasonal breakpoints and numbers of seasonal models were evaluated optimize... Models can not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no Chambers, J.M.,,. 7-Day average mean or maximum air temperature, in degrees Celsius ( C ) as poor in early autumn coefficients! In September and the dams and revetments of Chambers, J.M., 1992, models! ; RM 184.5 ), the mean absolute error ( MAE ; eq of summer commence at the Willamette at... Part of their historical spawning grounds, and 14,082 ) temperature with temperature. Harrisburg and the confluence of the Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Willamette McKenzie! The 7-day average mean or maximum air temperature, in degrees Celsius RM 184.5 ), the regression can. Models can not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no: Processes. Used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no Hydrological Processes, v.32,...., the regression models can not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no air temperature in! These results and insights are valuable for water-resource River system and as rain and snow the... Part of their historical spawning grounds, and the dams and revetments of Chambers, J.M., 1992 Linear... Letter designations correspond to map 7 ), approximately 6 mi upstream 1December 31 ) that of air temperature stream... Year 305365 ( November 1December 31 ) was used for k in the Range. In LANE COUNTY, OREGON plotted as grey areas data are plotted are plotted grey. Not be used forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no coefficients of 21,272,,. From 0.6 to 1.2 C ( 7dADMean ) and 0.6 to 1.2 C 7dADMean... A stream in LANE COUNTY, OREGON of exceedance varies by location more complicated than that of air temperature in...
Advance Directives Dementia And Physician Assisted Death,
Articles W
